Writing at the intersection of AI, science and strategy.
This site gathers essays on machine intelligence, technological change and the organisational questions that emerge when capability shifts.
Latest Essays
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The Loss of Little Work
AI is quietly pulling small, well-scoped jobs back inside firms by lowering the coordination cost of getting a first useful version done internally.
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Machine-Managed Enterprises
If AI keeps improving, firms may move beyond simple automation toward machine-managed value chains that require new forms of orchestration and governance.
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Cognitive Crossover
A case for continued AI scaling, connecting empirical scaling laws with broader arguments about universality, capability growth and the reshaping of work.
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When AI Learns Without Us
A survey of self-improving AI methods that learn from confidence, consistency and code changes rather than direct human labels or rewards.
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The Future of the Firm
How more capable AI could lower internal coordination costs, shift make-versus-buy decisions, and push firms toward greater vertical integration.
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The AI Sovereignty Imperative
Why compute is becoming a strategic national resource, and how access to AI infrastructure may determine scientific capacity, public-sector power and economic relevance.
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Can AI Work an 8-Hour Day?
Using METR’s task-endurance results as a starting point, this essay asks when AI agents might sustain hours of useful work and what that would mean for organisations.
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Structural Deepening
A closer look at Simon Wardley’s mapping framework and the idea of structural deepening as a way to understand invention, dependency and business evolution.
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Welcome!
An introduction to the blog: why I am writing, what I am trying to understand, and how AI, invention and technology strategy shape the themes collected here.
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